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In the early 90-ies of the twentieth century, Ukraine declared its aspiration to ensure sustainable development. The term «sustainable development», proposed by the UNO Conference on the natural environment and development in 1992, in its essence comes to maintain the specifics of social changes, «… to satisfy the needs of nowadays but not to endanger the ability of future generations to meet their own needs» [9, p. 26, 27]. According to this fact, the structure of sustainable development is formed by such components as economic, social and environmental. The economic peculiarity of implementation of «sustainable development» deals with resource saving, the social one focuses on the preservation of the stability of social systems through the equitable distribution of welfare, and environmental peculiarity deals with maintenance of abilities to self-recovery. It is important that all three elements of sustainable development should be considered and implemented simultaneously and balanced.

However, the national field of implementation of the concept of sustainable development does not confirm the statements of the theoretical notions by the empiric experience. In this context, the modern realities as to sustainable development indicate that in our country a mechanism for its ruled dynamics has not been created yet. Moreover, in Ukraine according to the use of the concept of «sustainable development» to refer to the steady growth of economic indicators its implementation is not confirmed even by long-term predictions. So, according to calculations done by the scientists of the State University of the Institute of Economic Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine the changes of the indicator of the GDP per capita of population close to 2050 will be so small that Ukraine will remain the low places in the world rankings [6, p.128-130].

This prospect requires a search for ways of creating conditions and development of toolkits to ensure sustainable development. In the context of this requirement there is a need to emphasize such rather important fact as attraction of national scientific community to solve sustainable development challenges practically simultaneously with foreign experts. Ukraine is not in luck to move in the way of scientific developments on this problem and it really was and remains on the edge of the scientific thought achievements. Issues of sustainable development were studied by such leading Ukrainian scientists as O. Bilorus [1], Z. Herasymchuk [3], M. Zgurovsky [11], B. Danylyshyn [5], L. Maslovska [7] L. Melnyk [8], M. Hvesyk [12] and others.

However, despite the existence of a spectrum of scientific developments, the empirical realities do not confirm the decision of all problems related to the theoretical and methodological support of sustainable development. Moreover, according to the generalization of the new reality the position, under which its modern explanation is impossible on the basis of created conceptual and instrumental apparatus, is distinguished.

The point is that developed and offered to use diagnostics methods of components of sustainable development are based on the concept of the static character. Meanwhile, the emergence of the term sustainable development is conditioned by the changes in the characteristics of its components within certain ranges, which require to attract the theory of dynamics. The system formation that sustainable development is, has its beginning and end, develops within a specific space and time. It should be stated that this essentially defined methodological aspect has been out of scientific investigations. Famous Ukrainian scientists and statesmen V. Semenozhenko and V. Hejets emphasised as regards this «… one of the key problems of Ukrainian strategic documents is incomprehension of the dynamics, changeability … Almost in every document the changes that are taking place are not taken into account… » [10, p. 4].

Because of the mentioned warnings should be taken into consideration the objective necessity to develop new conceptual principles of informational and tool providing and controlling sustainable development based on the dynamic approach arises.

Existing scientific heritage that has the interpretation of the term «dynamics» and to a certain extent, according to the stages of social promotion to civilized life, reveals its nature and adsorbs a variety of definitions of the diversified nature. Summing up of the conceptual views on the essence of the notion «dynamics» allowed qualifying it as an aimed in space and time process, described by the quantitative and qualitative characteristics. According to the classical canons the dynamic process on any of the hierarchical levels of management can be represented as a complex of changes of its environmental, economic and social spheres.

The availability in the socio-economic processes all components of dinamics allows providing the socio-ecological-economic dynamics with the concept of such nature: it is a process of a continuous targeted change of social, ecological and economic parameters in interaction and interdependence with appropriate domination of one of them and movement in the direction of civilization progression. Actually, the socio-ecological-economic dynamics is the cumulative trajectory that the society moves. Such understanding of social dynamics will allow formulating strategy and tactics of reformational transformations more carefully.

Given arguments as to the possibility of implementation of the economic system «theory of dynamics» provide an opportunity to outline the concepts «economic dynamics», «social dynamics», «environmental dynamics», as local processes of parameters changes of economic systems in time and space in the appropriate direction.

In our opinion, the economic dynamics should be associated with the process of natural changes of the quantitative and qualitative parameters of the economic subsystems in time and space, aimed to achieve a certain aggregate result.

As to the social dynamics, it is as a quantitative and qualitative, space and time, evolutionary process of natural changes of the potential of socialization and improvement of welfare of population.

Environmental dynamics is also a process in space and time with the quantitative and qualitative changes in logical and evolutionary character, but connected with the force of pressure of economic activity on the environment.

It should be noted that a systematic coherent socio-ecological-economic model on the conceptual apparatus has not been formed recently. Although such attempts have been made, but without differentiation of the quantitative and qualitative factors of influence [2].

Our investigations confirm that, in the main, methodologically it is possible to form blocks of the quantitative and qualitative factors of specific various information of environmental, economic and social nature. Based on the postulate of the adjective of «quantitative «, as some number whether quantity of anything, or «qualitative», as specific certainty of the subject, we make selection of informational and analytical characteristics that are under statistical accounting and allow expressing a greater number of signs through the least possible number of parameters. The quite important is the issue of the number of variables, by which one or another component of social dynamics has to be described. The experts for the operational assessment of a controlling measure of any process recommend limiting characteristics to 7 — 11 [4, p. 280].

But for the real ruled public dymanics the determination of the factor filling of its constituents is not enough. To solve the issues in the administrative context the models, which can synthesize quantitative and qualitative achievements within their limits, in particular, and in total, are neccessary. The complexity of their construction is in application of this methodology that would allow reproducing factor influences of different measures in the general indicators. To form assessment models of the cumulative dynamic progress and its constituents we used the tested instruments of bringing the various indicators to the comparative form through indexes. The calculation of indices is the process of comparing actual figures with the standard. Building the perfect object carries definitely subjective evaluation of the load. We, in particular, in the process of reasoning of one or another standard preferred only to the developed countries, and in the case of absence of indicators for comparison, carried out the optimization calculations.

Based on these standards and recommendations, we have calculated the indexes on all sets of factors of constituents of the socio-ecological-economic dynamics and for their explication qualification zones of their controlling were outlined. Of course, the point is to diagnose long-term trends that carry the applied load that is important to understand the quantitative-qualitative interdependence of production, processes of socialization and greening.

We have no reason to affirm that introduction in practice the analytical management activity of developed methodological bases simultaneously eliminates all the problems and provides the processes of social civilization promotion with clear directional character. The question is the opening by them the new tool and organizational possibilities to make balanced managerial decisions to ensure the social dynamics. Their potential to make quick administrative actions under the indicators that provide signals on the rollback of this or that zone handling by public promotion will contribute to the enhancement of the effectiveness of management of social dynamics. From the new paradigm standpoint the monitoring and evaluation of socio-economic-environmental dynamics, which focuses on and takes into account the complex of changes of parameters of ecological growth and ecological development, testing its main principles should be continued and the potential ability of combination of the purely analytical capabilities and improvement of the management system should be implemented then.


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    Written by: Ohdanskyi Kyrylo Mykolajovych
    Date Published: 06/23/2017
    Edition: ЕВРАЗИЙСКИЙ СОЮЗ УЧЕНЫХ_ 30.12.2014_12(09)
    Available in: Ebook